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What happened in NH?
Jan. 13th, 2008 10:20 pmWhy did Hillary do so much better than expected in NH? A Dailykos article discusses a number of possibilities. The conclusion? They don't quite have the data yet, but they tilt toward the theory that the Clinton team's field operations to get out the vote were very successful.
What else do we know? Obama's numbers were about what was expected. Clinton's were higher than expected. Late deciders tended slightly more to Hillary, but not enough to account for the full margin of victory. There were about the expected number of independents voting in the Democratic primary. There's no evidence for fraud or irregularities. There's no evidence yet that the "crying incident" helped Hillary (though many believe it did).
I'd love to know if the general media hostility to Hillary (eg Chris Mathews) played a role (and many think it did), but I can't believe any of our major media outlets would even be capable of asking the question.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/13/105314/137/225/436062
There's also a long comment thread that veers into conspiracy theory at times.
What else do we know? Obama's numbers were about what was expected. Clinton's were higher than expected. Late deciders tended slightly more to Hillary, but not enough to account for the full margin of victory. There were about the expected number of independents voting in the Democratic primary. There's no evidence for fraud or irregularities. There's no evidence yet that the "crying incident" helped Hillary (though many believe it did).
I'd love to know if the general media hostility to Hillary (eg Chris Mathews) played a role (and many think it did), but I can't believe any of our major media outlets would even be capable of asking the question.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/13/105314/137/225/436062
There's also a long comment thread that veers into conspiracy theory at times.
