petardier ([personal profile] petardier) wrote2004-09-17 10:40 pm

More reasons to ignore the polls

Here's an article about how the Gallup poll may be making some bad assumptions. Gallup assuming that "40% of those turning out to vote will be Republicans, and only 33% will be Democrat". But according to Zogby,
If we look at the three last Presidential elections, the spread was 34% Democrats, 34% 
Republicans and 33% Independents (in 1992 with Ross Perot in the race); 39% Democrats, 34% 
Republicans, and 27% Independents in 1996; and 39% Democrats, 35% Republicans and 26% 
Independents in 2000.

Here's a link to the article:

http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/002806.html

If Gallup is wrong, this election might be a landslide for Kerry. It's not enough to hope though; donate, spread the word, write letters, and show up to vote.